Detect Time Series Anomalies Using the Anomalize Package in R

This article was published as part of the Data Science Blogathon.

Introduction

Time series anomaly detection

Todo el proceso de detección de anomalías para una Time SeriesA time series is a set of data collected or measured at successive times, usually at regular time intervals. This type of analysis allows you to identify patterns, Trends and cycles in data over time. Its application is wide, covering areas such as economics, Meteorology and public health, facilitating prediction and decision-making based on historical information.... se lleva a cabo en 3 Steps:

1. Decompose the time series into the underlying variables; Trend, seasonality, residue.
2. Create upper and lower thresholds with some threshold value
3. Identify data points that are outside the thresholds as anomalies.

Case study

Let's download the dataset from the Singapore government website which is easily accessible. Total electricity consumption in households by type of dwelling. Singapore Government Data Website Crashes Quite Easily. This data set shows the total electricity consumption of households by type of dwelling (and GWh).

Install and upload R packages

In this exercise, we will work with 2 Key Packages for Time Series Anomaly Detection in R: anomalous Y timetk. These require that the object be created as a tibble of time, so we will also load the tibble packages. Let's first install and load these libraries.

pkg <- c('tidyverse','tibbletime','anomalize','timetk')
install.packages(pkg)
library(tidyverse)
library(tibbletime)
library(anomalize)
library(timetk)

Load data

In the previous step, we have downloaded the file of total electricity consumption by type of home (and GWh) from the Singapore Government website. Let's load the CSV file into an R data frame.

df <- read.csv("C:Anomaly Detection in Rtotal-household-electricity-consumption.csv")
head(df,5)

Data processing

Before we can apply any anomaly algorithm to the data, we have to change it to a date format.

The column ‘month’ is originally in factorial format with many levels. Let us convert it to a date type and select only the relevant columns in the data frame.

str(df)

# Change Factor to Date format
df$month <- paste(df$month, "01", sep="-")
# Select only relevant columns in a new dataframe
df$month <- as.Date(df$month,format="%Y-%m-%d")

df <- df %>% select(month,overall)

# Convert df to a tibble
df <- as_tibble(df)
class(df)

Using the ‘anomalize package’

The R package ‘anomalize’ enables a workflow to detect data anomalies. The main functions are time_decompose (), anomaly (), Y time_recompose ().

df_anomalized <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall, merge = TRUE) %>%
    anomalize(remainder) %>%
    time_recompose()
df_anomalized %>% glimpse()

View anomalies

We can then visualize the anomalies using the plot_anomalies () function.

df_anomalized %>% plot_anomalies(ncol = 3, alpha_dots = 0.75)

Trend and seasonality adjustment

With anomalize, it's easy to make adjustments because everything is done with a date or timestamp information, so you can intuitively select increments for time periods that make sense (for instance, "5 minutes" or "1 month").
First, note that a frequency and a trend were automatically selected for us. This is by design. The arguments frequency = “auto” and trend = “auto” are the default values. We can visualize this decomposition using plot_anomaly_decomposition ().

p1 <- df_anomalized %>%
    plot_anomaly_decomposition() +
    ggtitle("Freq/Trend = 'auto'")
p1

When it's used “auto”, get_time_scale_template () used to determine the logical frequency and trend intervals based on the scale of the data. You can discover the logic:

get_time_scale_template()

This implies that if the scale is 1 day (which means that the difference between each data point is 1 day), then the frequency will be 7 days (O 1 week) and the trend will be around 90 days (O 3 months). This logic can be easily adjusted in two ways: local parameter setting and global parameter setting.

Setting the local parameters

El ajuste de los parametersThe "parameters" are variables or criteria that are used to define, measure or evaluate a phenomenon or system. In various fields such as statistics, Computer Science and Scientific Research, Parameters are critical to establishing norms and standards that guide data analysis and interpretation. Their proper selection and handling are crucial to obtain accurate and relevant results in any study or project.... locales se realiza ajustando los parámetros en función. Then, we adjust the trend = “2 weeks”, which makes for a pretty overfitting trend.

p2 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall,
                   frequency = "auto",
                   trend     = "2 weeks") %>%
    anomalize(remainder) %>%
    plot_anomaly_decomposition() +
    ggtitle("Trend = 2 Weeks (Local)")
# Show plots
p1
p2

Global parameter setting

We can also adjust globally using set_time_scale_template () to update the default template to one we prefer. We will change the trend from “3 months” a “2 weeks” for the time scale = “day”. Use time_scale_template () to retrieve the timeline template with which the anomaly begins, mute () the trend field at the desired location and use set_time_scale_template () to update the template in global options. We can retrieve the updated template using get_time_scale_template () to verify that the change has been executed correctly.

time_scale_template() %>%
    mutate(trend = ifelse(time_scale == "day", "2 weeks", trend)) %>%
    set_time_scale_template()
get_time_scale_template()

Finally, we can rerun the time_decompose () with default values, and we can see that the trend is "2 weeks".

p3 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall) %>%
    anomalize(remainder) %>%
    plot_anomaly_decomposition() +
    ggtitle("Trend = 2 Weeks (Global)")
p3

Let's reset the timeline template defaults to the original defaults.

time_scale_template() %>%
    set_time_scale_template()
# Verify the change
get_time_scale_template()

Extract the anomalous data points

Now, we can extract the actual data points that are anomalies. For that, you can run the following code.

df %>% 
  time_decompose(overall) %>%
  anomalize(remainder) %>%
  time_recompose() %>%
  filter(anomaly == 'Yes')

Adjusting Alpha and Max Anoms

the alfa Y max_anoms are the two parameters that control the anomaly () function. H

p4 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall) %>%
    anomalize(remainder, alpha = 0.05, max_anoms = 0.2) %>%
    time_recompose() %>%
    plot_anomalies(time_recomposed = TRUE) +
    ggtitle("alpha = 0.05")
#> frequency = 7 days
#> trend = 91 days
p4

If we decrease the alpha, increase the bands, what makes it harder to be an outlier. Here, you can see the bands have gotten twice as big.

p5 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall) %>%
    anomalize(remainder, alpha = 0.025, max_anoms = 0.2) %>%
    time_recompose() %>%
    plot_anomalies(time_recomposed = TRUE) +
    ggtitle("alpha = 0.05")
#> frequency = 7 days
#> trend = 91 days
p5

Max Anoms

the max_anoms The parameter is used to control the maximum percentage of data that can be an anomaly. Let's set alpha = 0.3 so that pretty much anything is an outlier. Now let's try a comparison between max_anoms = 0.2 (20% allowed anomalies) y max_anoms = 0.05 (5% allowed anomalies).

p6 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall) %>%
    anomalize(remainder, alpha = 0.3, max_anoms = 0.2) %>%
    time_recompose() %>%
    plot_anomalies(time_recomposed = TRUE) +
    ggtitle("20% Anomalies")
#> frequency = 7 days
#> trend = 91 days
p7 <- df %>%
    time_decompose(overall) %>%
    anomalize(remainder, alpha = 0.3, max_anoms = 0.05) %>%
    time_recompose() %>%
    plot_anomalies(time_recomposed = TRUE) +
    ggtitle("5% Anomalies")
#> frequency = 7 days
#> trend = 91 days
p6
p7

Using the 'timetk package’

It is a toolkit for working with time series in R, to trace, discuss and present engineer time series data to perform machine learning predictions and predictions.

Interactive viewing of anomalies

Here, timetk’s The plot_anomaly_diagnostics function () allows you to modify some of the parameters on the fly.

df %>% timetk::plot_anomaly_diagnostics(month,overall, .facet_ncol = 2)

Interactive anomaly detection

To find the exact data points that are anomalies, we use tk_anomaly_diagnostics () function.

df %>% timetk::tk_anomaly_diagnostics(month, overall) %>% filter(anomaly=='Yes')

Conclution

In this article, we have seen some of the popular packages in R that can be used to identify and visualize anomalies in a time series. To provide some clarity on anomaly detection techniques in R, we did a case study on a publicly available data set. There are other methods to detect outliers and can also be explored.

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